Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Haute-Savoie

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 58% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.5 points.

Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 84%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 39.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.6%
  • Left (NFP) 21.3%
  • LR and allies 7.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.0%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription 39.0%29.6%21.3%7.0%
Provincial averageHaute-Savoie 35.9%+3.1 19.0%+10.5 23.4%−2.0 17.2%−10.2
National averageFrance 36.0%+3.1 17.0%+12.6 29.0%−7.7 12.2%−5.2

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Xavier ROSEREN · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 9.5 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Charles PRATS RN and allies 19,639 36.2
Xavier ROSEREN Elected Centre (Ensemble) 18,805 34.7
Alain ROUBIAN Left (NFP) 12,039 22.2
Cyrille DU PELOUX LR and allies 3,135 5.8
Alexandre DEMEURE Far left 614 1.1

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated