Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 23%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription | 35.1% | 30.5% | 22.0% | 9.5% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Savoie | 35.9%−0.8 | 19.0%+11.5 | 23.4%−1.4 | 17.2%−7.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−0.8 | 17.0%+13.5 | 29.0%−7.1 | 12.2%−2.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Véronique RIOTTON · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 4.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Véronique RIOTTON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 28,079 | 35.6 |
| Guillaume ROIT-LEVÊQUE | RN and allies | 24,500 | 31.1 |
| Anne-Valérie DUVAL | Left (NFP) | 17,980 | 22.8 |
| Florian THABUIS | LR and allies | 6,527 | 8.3 |
| Claudine MOLIN | RN and allies | 937 | 1.2 |
| Jacques MATTEI | Far left | 675 | 0.9 |
| Stéphane ESPIC | Others | 98 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Savoie — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated