Ain — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ain
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 61% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 77%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ain — 3ème circonscription | 35.0% | 27.3% | 24.3% | 8.0% |
| Provincial averageAin | 42.7%−7.7 | 15.4%+12.0 | 22.5%+1.8 | 15.8%−7.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−1.0 | 17.0%+10.3 | 29.0%−4.8 | 12.2%−4.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Olga GIVERNET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 7.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olga GIVERNET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,420 | 32.4 |
| Karine DUBARRY | RN and allies | 17,252 | 32.1 |
| Christian JOLIE | Left (NFP) | 13,497 | 25.1 |
| Khadija UNAL | LR and allies | 3,663 | 6.8 |
| Annick VEILLEROT | Sovereignists | 769 | 1.4 |
| Fulgence KOUASSI | Others | 630 | 1.2 |
| Cécile MAISONNETTE | Far left | 455 | 0.9 |
| Sofia TONIZZO | Others | 34 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ain — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Savoie — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Forecast updated