Savoie — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 86% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 28%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savoie — 4ème circonscription | 35.7% | 33.2% | 22.8% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 24.7%+10.9 | 36.9%−3.8 | 13.3%+9.5 | 3.1%+1.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+6.6 | 36.0%−2.8 | 17.0%+5.8 | 3.9%+0.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-François COULOMME · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 2.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-François COULOMME Elected | Left (NFP) | 20,164 | 36.6 |
| Brice BERNARD | RN and allies | 16,698 | 30.3 |
| Anaïs GOMERO | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,357 | 27.9 |
| Albin GUILLAUD | Others | 1,194 | 2.2 |
| Vincent THOMAZO | Sovereignists | 1,037 | 1.9 |
| Marie DUCRUET | Far left | 630 | 1.1 |
| Vincent BERNOLLIN | LR and allies | 2 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Savoie — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Isère — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated