Savoie — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 72% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.2 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savoie — 1ère circonscription | 40.5% | 30.3% | 22.2% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 36.9%+3.5 | 13.3%+17.0 | 24.7%−2.5 | 0.7%+2.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.5 | 17.0%+13.3 | 29.0%−6.8 | 0.4%+2.4 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marina FERRARI · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 10.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Typhanie DEGOIS | RN and allies | 23,992 | 36.2 |
| Marina FERRARI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,381 | 35.2 |
| Christel GRANATA | Left (NFP) | 15,212 | 22.9 |
| Frédéric EXERTIER | Greens | 2,292 | 3.5 |
| Guy-Alain PEYRARD | RN and allies | 830 | 1.3 |
| Adrien CASEJUANE | Far left | 451 | 0.7 |
| Jean-Pierre CHAUVEAU | Sovereignists | 191 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Isère — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Isère — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ain — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated