Isère — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Isère
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | RN and allies | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isère — 1ère circonscription | 39.2% | 28.5% | 21.3% | 8.2% |
| Provincial averageIsère | 32.2%+7.0 | 16.2%+12.3 | 37.4%−16.1 | 10.9%−2.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+10.2 | 17.0%+11.5 | 36.0%−14.7 | 12.2%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hugo PREVOST · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 10.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo PREVOST Elected | Left (NFP) | 25,207 | 40.2 |
| Olivier VÉRAN | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,089 | 33.6 |
| Alexandre LACROIX | RN and allies | 11,504 | 18.3 |
| Nathalie BÉRANGER | LR and allies | 4,379 | 7.0 |
| Rémi ADAM | Far left | 541 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Isère — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Isère — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Isère — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Isère — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Isère — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Savoie — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated