Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Isère — 9ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Isère

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 94% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.4 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 10%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.7%
  • Left (NFP) 27.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.3%
  • LR and allies 9.0%
  • Others 2.2%
  • Far left 1.0%
  • Greens 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
Isère — 9ème circonscription 37.7%27.3%22.3%9.0%
Provincial averageIsère 37.4%+0.3 32.2%−5.0 16.2%+6.1 10.9%−2.0
National averageFrance 36.0%+1.7 29.0%−1.8 17.0%+5.3 12.2%−3.3

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Sandrine NOSBÉ · Left (NFP)

Previous election (2024)

The united left won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 10.4 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Cécile BENE RN and allies 24,106 34.0
Sandrine NOSBÉ Elected Left (NFP) 19,825 28.0
Élodie JACQUIER-LAFORGE Centre (Ensemble) 19,307 27.3
Héloïse BARADEL LR and allies 5,468 7.7
Gaelle OFFRANC PIRET Greens 833 1.2
Claude DETROYAT Far left 756 1.1
Salvador VERO RN and allies 397 0.6
Valentin RADLO Others 124 0.2
Emma VASSAL Far left 9 0.0

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated