Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 67% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.7 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 53%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription | 32.9% | 28.2% | 26.0% | 8.7% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Savoie | 35.9%−3.0 | 19.0%+9.1 | 23.4%+2.6 | 17.2%−8.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−3.1 | 17.0%+11.2 | 29.0%−3.0 | 12.2%−3.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Antoine ARMAND · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 4.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine ARMAND Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 23,783 | 33.3 |
| Anis BOUVARD | RN and allies | 20,583 | 28.8 |
| Guillaume TATU | Left (NFP) | 19,215 | 26.9 |
| Alexandre RICHEFORT | LR and allies | 5,396 | 7.5 |
| Jérémy LANGLADE-NOUCHY | Others | 1,077 | 1.5 |
| Pascale VINCENT | RN and allies | 872 | 1.2 |
| Naci YILDIRIM | Far left | 411 | 0.6 |
| Geoffrey CORNET | Far left | 139 | 0.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Savoie — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated