Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 55% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.6 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 90%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription | 40.5% | 31.9% | 22.1% | 4.6% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Savoie | 35.9%+4.6 | 17.2%+14.7 | 23.4%−1.3 | 3.7%+0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.5 | 12.2%+19.6 | 29.0%−7.0 | 3.9%+0.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christelle PETEX · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 8.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine VALENTIN | RN and allies | 24,182 | 39.7 |
| Christelle PETEX Elected | LR and allies | 19,726 | 32.4 |
| Gérard VEZ | Left (NFP) | 14,630 | 24.0 |
| Véronique BOUVIER | Others | 1,742 | 2.9 |
| Jocelyne LEGOUHY | Far left | 656 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated