Haute-Savoie — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 55% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.4 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 89%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Savoie — 5ème circonscription | 36.4% | 26.0% | 22.7% | 8.3% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Savoie | 35.9%+0.5 | 19.0%+6.9 | 23.4%−0.7 | 17.2%−8.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.4 | 17.0%+9.0 | 29.0%−6.4 | 12.2%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Anne-Cécile VIOLLAND · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 10.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin TAÏEB | RN and allies | 21,822 | 32.1 |
| Anne-Cécile VIOLLAND Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,124 | 31.1 |
| Jean-Baptiste BAUD | Left (NFP) | 15,985 | 23.5 |
| Chrystelle BEURRIER | LR and allies | 4,800 | 7.1 |
| Daniel MAGNIN | Others | 1,808 | 2.7 |
| Nicolas BAL | Others | 987 | 1.5 |
| Sacha POIDEVIN | RN and allies | 963 | 1.4 |
| Michelle BALLY | Far left | 484 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Jura — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated