Jura — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Jura
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jura — 2ème circonscription | 37.8% | 34.9% | 22.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageJura | 24.2%+13.5 | 39.1%−4.2 | 22.4%+0.3 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+25.5 | 36.0%−1.1 | 29.0%−6.3 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Marie-Christine DALLOZ · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marie-Christine DALLOZ Elected | LR and allies | 14,507 | 38.6 |
| Thierry MOSCA | RN and allies | 12,315 | 32.8 |
| Evelyne TERNANT | Left (NFP) | 9,303 | 24.8 |
| Patrick LANCON | Sovereignists | 694 | 1.9 |
| André BIGOT | RN and allies | 390 | 1.0 |
| Christian MARCHET | Far left | 386 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Jura — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 4ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Jura — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Ain — 3ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Doubs — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Ain — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated