Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Jura — 3ème circonscription

Legislative constituency · Jura

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the LR right a 68% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.8 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 65%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.5%
  • LR and allies 33.7%
  • Left (NFP) 22.3%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.5%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies LR and allies Left (NFP) Others
Jura — 3ème circonscription 40.5%33.7%22.3%1.9%
Provincial averageJura 39.1%+1.4 24.2%+9.5 22.4%−0.1 1.9%
National averageFrance 36.0%+4.6 12.2%+21.5 29.0%−6.7 3.9%−2.0

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Justine GRUET · LR and allies

Previous election (2024)

The LR right won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 6.8 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Aurore VUILLEMIN-PLANCON RN and allies 19,354 39.7
Justine GRUET Elected LR and allies 16,727 34.3
Hervé PRAT Left (NFP) 11,834 24.3
Dominique REVOY Far left 796 1.6

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated