Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Côte-d'Or
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription | 38.7% | 26.9% | 19.7% | 9.3% |
| Provincial averageCôte-d'Or | 39.3%−0.6 | 25.6%+1.4 | 17.4%+2.3 | 13.9%−4.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.7 | 29.0%−2.1 | 17.0%+2.7 | 12.2%−2.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Catherine HERVIEU · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tatiana GUYENOT | RN and allies | 17,181 | 34.6 |
| Catherine HERVIEU Elected | Left (NFP) | 13,723 | 27.7 |
| Benoît BORDAT | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,225 | 24.7 |
| Laurent BOURGUIGNAT | LR and allies | 3,982 | 8.0 |
| Julien GONZALEZ | Greens | 1,222 | 2.5 |
| Claire ROCHER | Far left | 522 | 1.1 |
| Franck GAILLARD | RN and allies | 512 | 1.0 |
| Elisabeth BERTRAND | Sovereignists | 231 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Jura — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated