Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Côte-d'Or
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a 87% chance of winning, with an average lead of 4.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 26%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription | 32.7% | 28.7% | 22.4% | 13.3% |
| Provincial averageCôte-d'Or | 25.6%+7.1 | 39.3%−10.7 | 17.4%+5.0 | 13.9%−0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+3.6 | 36.0%−7.3 | 17.0%+5.4 | 12.2%+1.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Océane GODARD · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 4.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Océane GODARD Elected | Left (NFP) | 14,679 | 29.2 |
| Didier MARTIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,830 | 27.5 |
| Cyline HUMBLOT-CORNILLE | RN and allies | 12,969 | 25.8 |
| François-Xavier DUGOURD | LR and allies | 6,126 | 12.2 |
| Sladana ZIVKOVIC | Left (NFP) | 2,232 | 4.4 |
| Julien THÉVENIN | Far left | 497 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated