Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Côte-d'Or
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 64% chance of winning, with an average lead of 8.5 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 72%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription | 43.0% | 34.5% | 18.7% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageCôte-d'Or | 39.3%+3.7 | 13.9%+20.6 | 25.6%−6.9 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.0 | 12.2%+22.3 | 29.0%−10.3 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hubert BRIGAND · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 8.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie DUMONT | RN and allies | 19,881 | 42.3 |
| Hubert BRIGAND Elected | LR and allies | 16,531 | 35.2 |
| Valérie JACQ | Left (NFP) | 9,616 | 20.5 |
| Michel DENIZOT | Far left | 940 | 2.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated