Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Saône-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 25.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription | 45.5% | 20.0% | 18.3% | 11.1% |
| Provincial averageSaône-et-Loire | 41.3%+4.2 | 13.2%+6.8 | 22.4%−4.1 | 18.9%−7.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.5 | 17.0%+3.0 | 29.0%−10.7 | 12.2%−1.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurélien DUTREMBLE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 25.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélien DUTREMBLE Elected | RN and allies | 23,130 | 42.7 |
| Rémy REBEYROTTE | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,606 | 25.1 |
| Richard BENINGER | Left (NFP) | 10,375 | 19.1 |
| Charles LANDRE | LR and allies | 5,384 | 9.9 |
| France ROBERT | Sovereignists | 783 | 1.4 |
| Julie LUCOTTE | Far left | 730 | 1.3 |
| José Antonio GRANADO | Others | 193 | 0.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Saône-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated