Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Saône-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 72% chance of winning, with an average lead of 6.0 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saône-et-Loire — 2ème circonscription | 40.7% | 34.6% | 16.7% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageSaône-et-Loire | 41.3%−0.6 | 18.9%+15.8 | 22.4%−5.7 | 13.2%−8.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.7 | 12.2%+22.4 | 29.0%−12.4 | 17.0%−12.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Josiane CORNELOUP · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 6.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier DAMIEN | RN and allies | 19,738 | 37.9 |
| Josiane CORNELOUP Elected | LR and allies | 17,511 | 33.6 |
| Sébastien GAUTHERON | Left (NFP) | 9,124 | 17.5 |
| Raymond ZEKPA | Centre (Ensemble) | 5,094 | 9.8 |
| Patrick BERTHELOT | Far left | 677 | 1.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Loire — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Allier — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Rhône — 9ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Forecast updated