Rhône — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Rhône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 56% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.7 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 88%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhône — 9ème circonscription | 38.2% | 26.5% | 22.4% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageRhône | 29.2%+9.1 | 12.4%+14.1 | 36.0%−13.6 | 18.9%−9.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.3 | 12.2%+14.3 | 29.0%−6.6 | 17.0%−7.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Alexandre PORTIER · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 11.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick LOUIS | RN and allies | 24,466 | 35.4 |
| Alexandre PORTIER Elected | LR and allies | 17,554 | 25.4 |
| Jean-Henri SOUMIREU-LARTIGUE | Left (NFP) | 16,066 | 23.2 |
| Antoine LAURENT | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,935 | 14.4 |
| Damien D'AUTRYVE | Others | 613 | 0.9 |
| Chantal HELLY | Far left | 464 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Rhône — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Rhône — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 10ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Ain — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated