Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Saône-et-Loire
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 78% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.8 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 42%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscription | 37.5% | 26.7% | 25.5% | 5.9% |
| Provincial averageSaône-et-Loire | 41.3%−3.8 | 22.4%+4.3 | 13.2%+12.3 | 18.9%−13.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.5 | 29.0%−2.3 | 17.0%+8.5 | 12.2%−6.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Benjamin DIRX · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 10.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel DREVET | RN and allies | 17,602 | 34.6 |
| Benjamin DIRX Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,546 | 30.6 |
| Jean-Luc DELPEUCH | Left (NFP) | 14,017 | 27.6 |
| Jean-Philippe BELVILLE | LR and allies | 2,368 | 4.7 |
| Jean-Armand ROY | Sovereignists | 836 | 1.6 |
| Christophe SPRINGAUX | Far left | 429 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 9ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Saône-et-Loire — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ain — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated