Ain — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ain
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ain — 4ème circonscription | 48.8% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
| Provincial averageAin | 42.7%+6.1 | 22.5%−3.3 | 15.4%+1.5 | 15.8%−3.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+12.8 | 29.0%−9.9 | 17.0%−0.2 | 12.2%−0.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jérôme BUISSON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 29.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jérôme BUISSON Elected | RN and allies | 30,221 | 46.0 |
| Christophe COQUELET | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,367 | 21.9 |
| Charline LIOTIER | Left (NFP) | 13,113 | 20.0 |
| Guy BILLOUDET | LR and allies | 7,179 | 10.9 |
| Sylvain COUSSON | Far left | 705 | 1.1 |
| Jérémy NICAUD | Others | 85 | 0.1 |
| Yannick BRESSON | Others | 17 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Ain — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Ain — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 13ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated