Ain — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Ain
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 21.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ain — 2ème circonscription | 44.6% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 10.6% |
| Provincial averageAin | 42.7%+1.9 | 22.5%+0.3 | 15.4%+3.8 | 15.8%−5.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+8.6 | 29.0%−6.3 | 17.0%+2.2 | 12.2%−1.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Romain DAUBIÉ · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 21.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andréa KOTARAC | RN and allies | 28,189 | 39.2 |
| Romain DAUBIÉ Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,414 | 24.2 |
| Maxime MEYER | Left (NFP) | 16,981 | 23.6 |
| Alexandre NANCHI | LR and allies | 6,737 | 9.4 |
| Olivier EYRAUD | RN and allies | 1,863 | 2.6 |
| Vincent GOUTAGNY | Far left | 734 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Rhône — 13ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 7ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 6ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Ain — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Rhône — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Rhône — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated