Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription | 51.6% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 2.8% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Marne | 54.2%−2.6 | 11.5%+11.5 | 15.7%+3.9 | 2.3%+0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+15.6 | 17.0%+6.0 | 29.0%−9.5 | 3.9%−1.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Christophe BENTZ · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 28.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe BENTZ Elected | RN and allies | 21,815 | 48.8 |
| Bérangère ABBA | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,529 | 28.0 |
| Benjamin LAMBERT | Left (NFP) | 9,104 | 20.4 |
| Sylvain DEMAY | Far left | 869 | 1.9 |
| Baptiste GALLET | Others | 355 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated