Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Marne
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 28.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription | 56.7% | 27.9% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Marne | 54.2%+2.6 | 14.5%+13.3 | 15.7%−3.9 | 2.3%−0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+20.8 | 12.2%+15.6 | 29.0%−17.2 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Laurence ROBERT-DEHAULT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 28.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence ROBERT-DEHAULT Elected | RN and allies | 21,009 | 56.8 |
| Nicolas LACROIX | LR and allies | 10,407 | 28.2 |
| Ingrid VIOT | Left (NFP) | 4,876 | 13.2 |
| Justin PRUM | Far left | 684 | 1.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meuse — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aube — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Marne — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated