Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Saône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.8 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription | 52.7% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 3.5% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Saône | 53.3%−0.5 | 16.9%+8.0 | 19.0%−2.7 | 2.7%+0.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.8 | 17.0%+7.9 | 29.0%−12.7 | 3.9%−0.5 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Antoine VILLEDIEU · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 27.8 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine VILLEDIEU Elected | RN and allies | 29,459 | 48.8 |
| Alain CHRETIEN | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,093 | 30.0 |
| Sébastien POYARD | Left (NFP) | 10,362 | 17.2 |
| Mohamed-Salah ZELFA | Others | 906 | 1.5 |
| Cédric FISCHER | Far left | 816 | 1.4 |
| Philippe GHILES | RN and allies | 701 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Doubs — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Doubs — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Jura — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated