Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haute-Saône
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 32.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription | 53.8% | 21.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Saône | 53.3%+0.5 | 19.0%+2.7 | 6.7%+5.4 | 16.9%−8.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.8 | 29.0%−7.4 | 12.2%−0.1 | 17.0%−8.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emeric SALMON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 32.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emeric SALMON Elected | RN and allies | 30,315 | 50.1 |
| Eric HOULLEY | Left (NFP) | 13,632 | 22.5 |
| Fabrice BARASSI-ZAMOCHNIKOFF | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,354 | 13.8 |
| Loic LABORIE | LR and allies | 6,600 | 10.9 |
| Isabelle APRO | Far left | 1,018 | 1.7 |
| Christophe DEVILLERS | RN and allies | 579 | 1.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vosges — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated