Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Territoire de Belfort
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscription | 40.7% | 27.1% | 18.4% | 10.3% |
| Provincial averageTerritoire de Belfort | 41.6%−0.9 | 24.4%+2.7 | 21.7%−3.3 | 8.3%+2.0 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+4.7 | 29.0%−1.9 | 12.2%+6.2 | 17.0%−6.7 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Guillaume BIGOT · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 13.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guillaume BIGOT Elected | RN and allies | 11,887 | 37.9 |
| Florian CHAUCHE | Left (NFP) | 8,799 | 28.0 |
| Didier VALLVERDU | LR and allies | 5,422 | 17.3 |
| Josée MARTINEZ | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,794 | 15.3 |
| Simon PHEULPIN | Far left | 497 | 1.6 |
| Célia KECK | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated