Doubs — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Doubs
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Sovereignists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubs — 3ème circonscription | 47.1% | 25.1% | 20.7% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageDoubs | 40.3%+6.8 | 19.7%+5.5 | 25.7%−5.0 | 0.4%+1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+11.1 | 17.0%+8.1 | 29.0%−8.3 | 0.3%+1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Matthieu BLOCH · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthieu BLOCH Elected | RN and allies | 18,795 | 44.4 |
| Nicolas PACQUOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,806 | 30.2 |
| Virginie DAYET | Left (NFP) | 9,138 | 21.6 |
| Brandon KEMPS | Sovereignists | 889 | 2.1 |
| Franck PLAIN | Far left | 753 | 1.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Doubs — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 5ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Forecast updated