Doubs — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Doubs
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 0.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 3%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubs — 5ème circonscription | 36.6% | 36.2% | 16.0% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageDoubs | 40.3%−3.7 | 9.7%+26.5 | 25.7%−9.7 | 19.7%−12.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.6 | 12.2%+24.0 | 29.0%−13.1 | 17.0%−9.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Annie GENEVARD · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 0.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annie GENEVARD Elected | LR and allies | 20,356 | 35.2 |
| Floriane JEANDENAND | RN and allies | 19,505 | 33.7 |
| Matthieu CASSEZ | Left (NFP) | 9,709 | 16.8 |
| Lucas BOILLOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,176 | 12.4 |
| Sonya MORRISON | Far left | 588 | 1.0 |
| Nolann LAURENT | Others | 497 | 0.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Doubs — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Doubs — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Doubs — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Doubs — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Jura — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated