Doubs — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Doubs
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 23.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubs — 4ème circonscription | 50.7% | 27.5% | 15.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageDoubs | 40.3%+10.4 | 25.7%+1.8 | 19.7%−4.2 | 2.2%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+14.7 | 29.0%−1.5 | 17.0%−1.5 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Géraldine GRANGIER · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 23.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Géraldine GRANGIER Elected | RN and allies | 19,863 | 47.6 |
| Magali DUVERNOIS | Left (NFP) | 11,776 | 28.2 |
| Philippe GAUTIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 8,527 | 20.4 |
| Yves VOLA | Greens | 906 | 2.2 |
| Michel TREPPO | Far left | 640 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Doubs — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated