Vosges — 1ère circonscription
Legislative constituency · Vosges
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vosges — 1ère circonscription | 41.8% | 39.1% | 15.9% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageVosges | 31.1%+10.7 | 43.7%−4.6 | 15.2%+0.7 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+29.6 | 36.0%+3.1 | 29.0%−13.1 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stéphane VIRY · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane VIRY Elected | LR and allies | 21,200 | 42.9 |
| Pierre FRANÇOIS | RN and allies | 18,886 | 38.2 |
| Dominique PERRIN | Left (NFP) | 8,655 | 17.5 |
| Evelyne ABBOT | Far left | 737 | 1.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Vosges — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated