Meurthe-et-Moselle — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Meurthe-et-Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 92% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 16%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meurthe-et-Moselle — 4ème circonscription | 45.4% | 32.7% | 18.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageMeurthe-et-Moselle | 39.4%+6.0 | 13.3%+19.3 | 31.4%−12.6 | 2.0%−0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.4 | 12.2%+20.4 | 29.0%−10.2 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Thibault BAZIN · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique BILDE | RN and allies | 27,618 | 43.7 |
| Thibault BAZIN Elected | LR and allies | 20,984 | 33.2 |
| Barbara BERTOZZI-BIÉVELOT | Left (NFP) | 13,009 | 20.6 |
| Geneviève HEILLIETTE | Far left | 864 | 1.4 |
| Valérie CANTIGET | RN and allies | 719 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Vosges — 1ère circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Moselle — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated