Moselle — 4ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Moselle
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 82% chance of winning, with an average lead of 9.6 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 36%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moselle — 4ème circonscription | 46.3% | 36.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% |
| Provincial averageMoselle | 46.0%+0.4 | 16.7%+20.1 | 20.8%−9.8 | 11.6%−8.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+10.4 | 12.2%+24.6 | 29.0%−18.0 | 17.0%−13.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Fabien DI FILIPPO · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 9.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Océane SIMON | RN and allies | 22,265 | 42.7 |
| Fabien DI FILIPPO Elected | LR and allies | 18,659 | 35.8 |
| Helene GIRARDOT | Left (NFP) | 6,156 | 11.8 |
| Emilie CRENNER | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,191 | 8.0 |
| Jean-Philippe BOTT | RN and allies | 464 | 0.9 |
| Marc BAUD-BERTIER | Far left | 438 | 0.8 |
| Léna DECKER | Others | 17 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Moselle — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Meurthe-et-Moselle — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated