Bas-Rhin — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bas-Rhin
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 91% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 19%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bas-Rhin — 7ème circonscription | 45.5% | 33.4% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Provincial averageBas-Rhin | 36.5%+9.0 | 12.9%+20.5 | 24.1%−12.4 | 4.5%+0.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+9.6 | 12.2%+21.1 | 29.0%−17.4 | 3.9%+1.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Patrick HETZEL · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denis KIEFFER | RN and allies | 23,071 | 41.5 |
| Patrick HETZEL Elected | LR and allies | 17,974 | 32.3 |
| Serge BLOCH | Left (NFP) | 6,912 | 12.4 |
| Eric WOLFF | Centre (Ensemble) | 4,734 | 8.5 |
| Anastasie LEIPP | Others | 1,821 | 3.3 |
| Arthur WOLFF | RN and allies | 707 | 1.3 |
| Jean MEYER | Far left | 414 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Moselle — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Bas-Rhin — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 3ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated