Bas-Rhin — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bas-Rhin
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bas-Rhin — 3ème circonscription | 38.1% | 27.1% | 24.0% | 5.1% |
| Provincial averageBas-Rhin | 24.1%+14.1 | 36.5%−9.5 | 20.5%+3.5 | 12.9%−7.8 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+9.1 | 36.0%−8.9 | 17.0%+7.0 | 12.2%−7.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Thierry SOTHER · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 11.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thierry SOTHER Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,355 | 37.9 |
| Bruno STUDER | Centre (Ensemble) | 13,260 | 29.0 |
| Stéphanie DÔ | RN and allies | 10,567 | 23.1 |
| Dera RATSIAJETSINIMARO | LR and allies | 1,760 | 3.9 |
| Gautier PERRIN | Others | 813 | 1.8 |
| Thierry PARAT | Greens | 782 | 1.7 |
| Alexandre ZYZECK | RN and allies | 420 | 0.9 |
| Mohamed SYLLA | Left (NFP) | 294 | 0.6 |
| Denise GRANDMOUGIN | Far left | 252 | 0.6 |
| Félix KLEIMANN | Left (NFP) | 129 | 0.3 |
| Hicham HAMZA | Others | 112 | 0.2 |
| Camille ROBERT | Far left | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bas-Rhin — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Bas-Rhin — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated