Bas-Rhin — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Bas-Rhin
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 19.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bas-Rhin — 6ème circonscription | 42.1% | 22.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Provincial averageBas-Rhin | 36.5%+5.5 | 20.5%+2.2 | 24.1%−9.5 | 12.9%+1.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+6.1 | 17.0%+5.7 | 29.0%−14.5 | 12.2%+2.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Louise MOREL · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 19.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent COUSSEDIERE | RN and allies | 25,275 | 38.5 |
| Louise MOREL Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,228 | 27.8 |
| Didier ANDRES | Left (NFP) | 10,076 | 15.3 |
| Jean BIEHLER | LR and allies | 8,739 | 13.3 |
| Carine HAMM | Others | 1,770 | 2.7 |
| Patricia MARLE | Sovereignists | 634 | 1.0 |
| Sabrina RITTER | RN and allies | 494 | 0.8 |
| René CAMUS | Far left | 362 | 0.6 |
| Ryan GEYER | Others | 79 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Bas-Rhin — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 4ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Bas-Rhin — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 1ère circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Bas-Rhin — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated