Haut-Rhin — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haut-Rhin
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 84% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 32%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haut-Rhin — 2ème circonscription | 39.8% | 27.4% | 14.6% | 9.4% |
| Provincial averageHaut-Rhin | 40.8%−1.1 | 21.7%+5.7 | 17.6%−3.0 | 12.0%−2.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+3.8 | 17.0%+10.3 | 29.0%−14.4 | 12.2%−2.8 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Hubert OTT · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie AUBERT | RN and allies | 22,049 | 36.2 |
| Hubert OTT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,785 | 32.5 |
| Lilian BOURGEOIS | Left (NFP) | 9,228 | 15.1 |
| Daniel KLACK | LR and allies | 5,012 | 8.2 |
| Jean-Marc BURGEL | Others | 1,645 | 2.7 |
| Tiffany STRAUB | Others | 1,641 | 2.7 |
| Claudine SÉBERT | Sovereignists | 679 | 1.1 |
| Victor OLRY | RN and allies | 477 | 0.8 |
| Pascal NEUSCHWANGER | Far left | 280 | 0.5 |
| Nathan DOUDE VAN TROOSTWIJK | Left (NFP) | 163 | 0.3 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Haut-Rhin — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Vosges — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Bas-Rhin — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 5ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated