Haut-Rhin — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Haut-Rhin
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the centrist bloc a 88% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 19%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haut-Rhin — 5ème circonscription | 33.8% | 32.3% | 26.7% | 4.8% |
| Provincial averageHaut-Rhin | 40.8%−7.1 | 21.7%+10.6 | 17.6%+9.1 | 5.3%−0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%−2.2 | 17.0%+15.3 | 29.0%−2.3 | 3.9%+0.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Olivier BECHT · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the centrist bloc ahead by 1.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier BECHT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,749 | 37.2 |
| Pierre PINTO | RN and allies | 14,096 | 29.6 |
| Nadia EL HAJJAJI | Left (NFP) | 12,776 | 26.8 |
| Jean-Frédéric BAECHLER | Others | 1,104 | 2.3 |
| Rachid LOUNES | Greens | 567 | 1.2 |
| Emmanuel TAFFARELLI | RN and allies | 544 | 1.1 |
| David DOLUI | Left (NFP) | 308 | 0.7 |
| Salah KELTOUMI | Far left | 287 | 0.6 |
| Romain SPINALI | Others | 249 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Haut-Rhin — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Haut-Rhin — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Forecast updated