Thursday, October 15, 2026
B.C. votes in 9 days

Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription

Legislative constituency · Haut-Rhin

Forecast of July 11, 2026

Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 78% chance of winning, with an average lead of 12.1 points.

Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 44%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.4%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.3%
  • Left (NFP) 16.9%
  • LR and allies 14.5%
  • Others 4.0%
  • Sovereignists 1.3%
  • Far left 0.6%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
Haut-Rhin — 1ère circonscription 37.4%25.3%16.9%14.5%
Provincial averageHaut-Rhin 40.8%−3.4 21.7%+3.6 17.6%−0.7 12.0%+2.4
National averageFrance 36.0%+1.4 17.0%+8.3 29.0%−12.1 12.2%+2.3

Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.

Current member

Brigitte KLINKERT · Centre (Ensemble)

Previous election (2024)

The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.

Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 12.1 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Laurent GNAEDIG RN and allies 16,833 34.2
Brigitte KLINKERT Elected Centre (Ensemble) 14,945 30.4
Aïcha FRITSCH Left (NFP) 8,727 17.8
Yves HEMEDINGER LR and allies 6,547 13.3
Thiébault ZITVOGEL Others 1,007 2.1
Cyrielle COUVAL Sovereignists 591 1.2
Gilles SCHAFFAR Far left 341 0.7
Ariane BISCHOFF-BATMA RN and allies 174 0.4

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Forecast updated