Savoie — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 95% chance of winning, with an average lead of 1.0 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 10%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savoie — 2ème circonscription | 37.1% | 36.1% | 21.1% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 36.9%+0.1 | 19.6%+16.5 | 24.7%−3.7 | 3.1%+1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+1.1 | 12.2%+23.9 | 29.0%−8.0 | 3.9%+0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Vincent ROLLAND · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 1.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent ROLLAND Elected | LR and allies | 18,593 | 36.8 |
| Pauline RACT-BRANCAZ | RN and allies | 17,762 | 35.2 |
| Pascale MARTINOT | Left (NFP) | 11,591 | 23.0 |
| Delphine JAFFRÉ | Others | 1,244 | 2.5 |
| Mathieu CICERI | Sovereignists | 488 | 1.0 |
| Morgane BETTOLI | RN and allies | 441 | 0.9 |
| Myriam RAHALIA | Far left | 349 | 0.7 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Savoie — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Haute-Savoie — 3ème circonscription LR and allies, toss-up
- Haute-Savoie — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Forecast updated