Savoie — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Savoie
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the LR right a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 2%.
Compared with the average
| LR and allies | RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savoie — 3ème circonscription | 39.9% | 37.0% | 20.0% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSavoie | 19.6%+20.3 | 36.9%+0.1 | 24.7%−4.8 | 3.1%−1.2 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2%+27.7 | 36.0%+1.0 | 29.0%−9.1 | 3.9%−2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Emilie BONNIVARD · LR and allies
Previous election (2024)
The LR right won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the LR right ahead by 2.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie BONNIVARD Elected | LR and allies | 21,605 | 40.9 |
| Marie DAUCHY | RN and allies | 19,023 | 36.0 |
| Daniel IBANEZ | Left (NFP) | 11,530 | 21.8 |
| Pascale TROUVÉ | Far left | 719 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Savoie — 2ème circonscription LR and allies, safe seat
- Savoie — 4ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Haute-Savoie — 2ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Hautes-Alpes — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), toss-up
- Isère — 5ème circonscription Left (NFP), competitive
- Haute-Savoie — 6ème circonscription Centre (Ensemble), toss-up
- Forecast updated