Pyrénées-Orientales — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Pyrénées-Orientales
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyrénées-Orientales — 3ème circonscription | 50.0% | 27.1% | 15.4% | 5.2% |
| Provincial averagePyrénées-Orientales | 52.7%−2.7 | 24.0%+3.2 | 14.6%+0.8 | 4.4%+0.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+14.0 | 29.0%−1.9 | 17.0%−1.6 | 3.9%+1.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sandrine DOGOR-SUCH · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandrine DOGOR-SUCH Elected | RN and allies | 25,363 | 45.6 |
| Nathalie CULLELL | Left (NFP) | 15,603 | 28.0 |
| Laurence GAYTE | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,367 | 20.4 |
| Lucila GRAU | Others | 1,780 | 3.2 |
| Alexandre MICHAUT | RN and allies | 935 | 1.7 |
| Anna-Maria URROZ | Far left | 612 | 1.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated