Aude — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Aude
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 27.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aude — 2ème circonscription | 52.5% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 5.2% |
| Provincial averageAude | 51.4%+1.0 | 29.1%−4.0 | 11.6%+2.7 | 3.4%+1.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+16.5 | 29.0%−3.9 | 17.0%−2.7 | 3.9%+1.2 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Frédéric FALCON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 27.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frédéric FALCON Elected | RN and allies | 29,212 | 48.1 |
| Viviane THIVENT | Left (NFP) | 15,795 | 26.0 |
| Christine BREYTON | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,727 | 19.3 |
| Gérard LENFANT | Others | 1,927 | 3.2 |
| Alain PEYRE | RN and allies | 969 | 1.6 |
| Alain BRUN | LR and allies | 654 | 1.1 |
| Annette VIGIER | Far left | 418 | 0.7 |
| Nicole GRAU | Others | 0 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Pyrénées-Orientales — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated