Hérault — 6ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 90% chance of winning, with an average lead of 15.5 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 21%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 6ème circonscription | 43.8% | 28.3% | 20.2% | 4.9% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%+1.8 | 7.1%+21.2 | 32.4%−12.2 | 14.8%−9.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.9 | 12.2%+16.1 | 29.0%−8.8 | 17.0%−12.1 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Julien GABARRON · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 15.5 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julien GABARRON Elected | RN and allies | 25,563 | 41.1 |
| Emmanuelle MÉNARD | LR and allies | 16,968 | 27.3 |
| Magali CROZIER | Left (NFP) | 13,126 | 21.1 |
| Sarah Fatima DAUDÉ-ALLAOUI | Centre (Ensemble) | 6,149 | 9.9 |
| Laurent GILHODES | Far left | 472 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated