Hérault — 8ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 11.2 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 8ème circonscription | 43.2% | 32.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%+1.2 | 32.4%−0.5 | 14.8%−2.9 | 7.1%+0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+7.2 | 29.0%+3.0 | 17.0%−5.1 | 12.2%−4.6 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Sylvain CARRIERE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 11.2 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cédric DELAPIERRE | RN and allies | 25,831 | 40.1 |
| Sylvain CARRIERE Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,061 | 32.7 |
| Isabelle AUTIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,854 | 16.9 |
| Bérangère DUBUS | LR and allies | 4,083 | 6.3 |
| Sabria BOUALLAGA | Greens | 2,019 | 3.1 |
| Thomas GARNIER | Far left | 533 | 0.8 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Hérault — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated