Hérault — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 66% chance of winning, with an average lead of 3.3 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 67%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 3ème circonscription | 36.5% | 33.2% | 24.2% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%−5.5 | 32.4%+0.7 | 14.8%+9.3 | 0.6%+1.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+0.5 | 29.0%+4.1 | 17.0%+7.1 | 0.4%+2.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Fanny DOMBRE-COSTE · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 3.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fanny DOMBRE-COSTE Elected | Left (NFP) | 22,968 | 33.9 |
| Lauriane TROISE | RN and allies | 21,872 | 32.3 |
| Laurence CRISTOL | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,714 | 29.1 |
| Flavio DALMAU | Greens | 2,049 | 3.0 |
| Babeth SEGURA | RN and allies | 793 | 1.2 |
| Serge GACHON | Far left | 359 | 0.5 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated