Hérault — 9ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 13.4 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 9ème circonscription | 41.7% | 28.4% | 19.9% | 7.3% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%−0.3 | 32.4%−4.1 | 14.8%+5.1 | 7.1%+0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+5.7 | 29.0%−0.7 | 17.0%+2.9 | 12.2%−5.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Charles ALLONCLE · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 13.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles ALLONCLE Elected | RN and allies | 21,734 | 36.4 |
| Nadia BELAOUNI | Left (NFP) | 17,463 | 29.3 |
| Patrick VIGNAL | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,918 | 25.0 |
| Anthony BELIN | LR and allies | 2,046 | 3.4 |
| Frédéric BORT | RN and allies | 1,481 | 2.5 |
| William VISTE | LR and allies | 899 | 1.5 |
| Patrice BOCCADIFUOCO | LR and allies | 584 | 1.0 |
| Nathalie PEIRO | Far left | 459 | 0.8 |
| Géry LALY | LR and allies | 82 | 0.1 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Gard — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated