Hérault — 2ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the united left a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 37.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 2ème circonscription | 57.2% | 19.9% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 32.4%+24.7 | 42.0%−22.1 | 14.8%−2.8 | 7.1%+1.1 |
| National averageFrance | 29.0%+28.1 | 36.0%−16.1 | 17.0%−5.0 | 12.2%−4.0 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Nathalie OZIOL · Left (NFP)
Previous election (2024)
The united left won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the united left ahead by 37.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie OZIOL Elected | Left (NFP) | 24,707 | 58.2 |
| Robert LE STUM | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,230 | 17.0 |
| Flavia MANGANO | RN and allies | 7,202 | 17.0 |
| Sandra HOUÉE | LR and allies | 1,821 | 4.3 |
| Christelle BOYER | LR and allies | 1,157 | 2.7 |
| Didier MICHEL | Far left | 301 | 0.7 |
| Hugo LEBOON | Others | 19 | 0.0 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 9ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Gard — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated