Hérault — 7ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 29.9 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 7ème circonscription | 54.4% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%+12.4 | 32.4%−7.9 | 14.8%+1.7 | 2.2%−0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+18.4 | 29.0%−4.5 | 17.0%−0.5 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Aurélien LOPEZ-LIGUORI · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 29.9 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurélien LOPEZ-LIGUORI Elected | RN and allies | 37,495 | 51.7 |
| Gabriel BLASCO | Left (NFP) | 18,415 | 25.4 |
| Jocelyne GIZARDIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,618 | 21.5 |
| Daniel PILAUDEAU | Far left | 1,047 | 1.4 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 8ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, competitive
- Hérault — 2ème circonscription Left (NFP), safe seat
- Forecast updated