Hérault — 5ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Hérault
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 22.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hérault — 5ème circonscription | 53.6% | 31.4% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Provincial averageHérault | 42.0%+11.6 | 32.4%−1.1 | 14.8%−5.9 | 2.2%+1.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+17.7 | 29.0%+2.3 | 17.0%−8.0 | 3.9%−0.3 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Stéphanie GALZY · RN and allies
Previous election (2024)
The RN and its allies won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 22.3 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphanie GALZY Elected | RN and allies | 32,781 | 48.9 |
| Aurélien MANENC | Left (NFP) | 21,640 | 32.3 |
| Philippe HUPPÉ | Centre (Ensemble) | 9,369 | 14.0 |
| Lilian BOURRIE | RN and allies | 1,346 | 2.0 |
| Rémy GROUSSARD | Others | 1,121 | 1.7 |
| Véronique CHESNARD | Far left | 809 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Hérault — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 7ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aude — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Aveyron — 3ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 4ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated