Aveyron — 3ème circonscription
Legislative constituency · Aveyron
Forecast of July 11, 2026
Our forecast gives the RN and its allies a 70% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.4 points.
Competitive. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 55%.
Compared with the average
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveyron — 3ème circonscription | 38.5% | 28.1% | 27.5% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageAveyron | 36.3%+2.2 | 27.3%+0.8 | 30.5%−3.0 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0%+2.5 | 29.0%−1.0 | 17.0%+10.5 | 3.9%−1.9 |
Simple average of the 577 ridings, not weighted by population.
Current member
Jean-François ROUSSET · Centre (Ensemble)
Previous election (2024)
The centrist bloc won by 0.0 points.
Our current projection: the RN and its allies ahead by 10.4 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Antoine FEVRE | RN and allies | 18,044 | 35.5 |
| Jean-François ROUSSET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,514 | 32.5 |
| Richard BOUIGUE | Left (NFP) | 14,660 | 28.8 |
| Thierry NOEL | Greens | 1,066 | 2.1 |
| Bernard COMBES | Far left | 607 | 1.2 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Aveyron — 1ère circonscription Centre (Ensemble), safe seat
- Tarn — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Hérault — 5ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Lozère — 1ère circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Aveyron — 2ème circonscription RN and allies, toss-up
- Hérault — 6ème circonscription RN and allies, safe seat
- Forecast updated